What will the US president's approval rating be as of 8 August 2026, according to Nate Silver's aggregation?
Starts
Dec 12, 2025 06:00PM UTC
(1 hour from now)
Closing Aug 08, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 08, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The question will be suspended on 7 August 2026 and the outcome determined using the downloaded "Approval/Disapproval" chart data provided by Nate Silver (Nate Silver, click "Get the data" for an xlsx file download). The data for 8 August 2026 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 11 August 2026. As of the launch of this question, the US president's approval rating on 1 December 2025 was 41.44053%.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
This question is not yet active.
| Answers |
|---|
| Lower than 34.0% |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% |
| At least 46.0%, but less than 48.0% |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 50.0% |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 52.0% |
| 52.0% or higher |