What will the US president's approval rating be as of 8 August 2026, according to Nate Silver's aggregation?
Started
Dec 12, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Aug 08, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Aug 08, 2026 07:01AM UTC
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The question will be suspended on 7 August 2026 and the outcome determined using the downloaded "Approval/Disapproval" chart data provided by Nate Silver (Nate Silver, click "Get the data" for an xlsx file download). The data for 8 August 2026 will be accessed for resolution at approximately 5:00PM ET on 11 August 2026. As of the launch of this question, the US president's approval rating on 1 December 2025 was 41.44053%.
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lower than 34.0% | 15.00% | +1.00% | +8.50% |
| At least 34.0%, but less than 36.0% | 9.00% | -3.00% | -2.75% |
| At least 36.0%, but less than 38.0% | 15.00% | -5.00% | -20.25% |
| At least 38.0%, but less than 40.0% | 28.00% | +1.00% | +16.75% |
| At least 40.0%, but less than 42.0% | 17.00% | +3.00% | +5.75% |
| At least 42.0%, but less than 44.0% | 12.00% | +3.00% | -4.25% |
| At least 44.0%, but less than 46.0% | 3.00% | 0% | -3.25% |
| At least 46.0%, but less than 48.0% | 1.00% | 0% | -0.50% |
| At least 48.0%, but less than 50.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| At least 50.0%, but less than 52.0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 52.0% or higher | 0% | 0% | 0% |