When will a nominee for FBI director be confirmed by the U.S. Senate?

Started May 19, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 31, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Donald Trump has yet to announce his choice to replace James Comey as the director of the FBI. The next FBI director will need to be confirmed by the U.S. Senate. The current acting replacement, Andrew G. McCabe, would also face a confirmation vote if nominated (The Hill). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. Recommended Questions: How many removals will U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement conduct in fiscal year 2017? As of 30 November 2017, how many states, including D.C., will offer expanded Medicaid coverage to people meeting the Affordable Care Act's poverty requirements for expanded coverage? The U.S. Senate did not confirm an FBI Director before August 1st, 2017. This question closes as "c) Not before 1 August 2017." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 July 2017 0%
Between 1 July 2017 and 31 July 2017, inclusive 0%
Not before 1 August 2017 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 261
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1043
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.448
2.
-0.443
3.
-0.411
4.
-0.408
5.
-0.395

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username