Will there be a partial or full government shutdown in the United States before the end of the year?

Started Sep 28, 2015 08:15PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2015 11:00PM UTC
Tags

A government shut down occurs when the President and Congress fail to agree on full year or interim funding for government agencies and programs ( http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/congress-shutdown-boehner-planned-parenthood-214122 , https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/RL34680.pdf , http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-annual-budget-deficit-rose-in-july-1439402405 ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 696
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 1578
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.01
3.
-0.01
4.
-0.009
5.
-0.009

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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