Before 6 June 2026, will Masoud Pezeshkian either flee Iran or cease to be its president?
Started
Jan 02, 2026 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Closing Jun 06, 2026 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Protests in Iran over political and economic conditions reportedly broke out in late December 2025 (Deutsche Welle, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, Al Jazeera). Whether or not Pezeshkian has fled Iran will be determined using credible, open-source media reporting.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.