How many successful Starship launches will SpaceX perform in 2026?
Started
Jan 09, 2026 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2027 08:01AM UTC
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SpaceX is expected to ramp up Starship launches in 2026, including the debut of its Version 3 (V3) of the space vehicle (NASA Spaceflight, USA Today, SpaceX). A launch will be considered successful upon a successful first stage separation (YouTube).
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NOTE 12 January 2026: If SpaceX successfully launches two or more Starship vehicles simultaneously, each Starship successfully launched will count as a launch.
| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 or fewer | 8.50% | +0.10% | +6.70% | -2.60% |
| Between 4 and 6 | 32.10% | +1.10% | +5.70% | -1.80% |
| Between 7 and 10 | 51.70% | 0% | -5.80% | +20.40% |
| Between 11 and 15 | 7.30% | -0.90% | -4.40% | -3.40% |
| Between 16 and 21 | 0.40% | -0.20% | -2.10% | -6.40% |
| 22 or more | 0% | -0.10% | -0.10% | -6.20% |