What will the end-of-day YTD return be for the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index on 29 December, 2017?

Started Jun 13, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 29, 2017 07:59AM UTC

The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "YTD Return" value reported by Bloomberg on 29 December, 2017. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "Between +2.5% and +5.0%, inclusive" with an end date of 29 December 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than -2.5% 0%
Between -2.5% and 0.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 0.0%, but less than +2.5% 0%
Between +2.5% and +5.0%, inclusive 100%
More than +5.0% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 161
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 621
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.066781
2.
-0.064958
3.
-0.063127
4.
-0.057867
5.
-0.056944

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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