All fatalities resulting from the fighting, including civilians and third party actors will count. The once “frozen” conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenian separatists in Nagorno-Karabakh has shown signs of escalation (Reuters, Aljazeera, Council on Foreign Relations). The answer options represent different orders of magnitude of conflict escalation. Fatality estimates often vary across sources and are typically reported in ranges. If the fatality estimates from open source media coverage produce a range that crosses two of the answer bins, GJ will generally use the higher end of the range to determine the resolution of the question, but will also consider the number of sources that put the high end of the range within each bin as well as how much of the total range falls within each bin. _{Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.}

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This question closed as "10-99" with an end date of 1 July 2018. _{See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.}