Started Jul 11, 2017 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

The CFA Society Los Angeles asks

Before 1 January 2018, will Fitch, Moody's, or S&P cut the State of Illinois’ credit rating to junk status?

The question will close yes if Moody’s cuts its credit rating to Ba1, Fitch cuts its rating to BB+, or S&P cuts its rating to BB+ on any Illinois state general obligation bonds. Despite passing a budget, the state of Illinois remains at risk of having its credit downgraded to junk status (Market Watch, Chicago Tribune).

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Name Probability
Yes 12%

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