Before 1 October 2017, will the Mauritanian government hold a referendum to alter the nation's constitution?

Started Jul 14, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2017 05:00PM UTC

A referendum vote aimed at changing Mauritania’s constitution, originally scheduled for July 2017, has been postponed to August (World Politics Review, North AfricaPost, Africa News, News 24). If the referendum includes multiple amendments to the constitution, passage of any of them would resolve the question as "Yes, it will pass." Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Mauritania held a passing referendum on 5 August, 2017 (Aljazeera ,BBC). This question closed as "a) Yes, and it will pass", with and end date of 5 August 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and it will pass 77%
Yes, but it will not pass 9%
No 14%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 34
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 83
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.306582
2.
-0.281127
3.
-0.261564
4.
-0.258109
5.
-0.254309

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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