The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 July 2018, will Uber, or any of its subsidiaries, agree to a settlement or be found liable for trade secrets violations in the case brought by Waymo in the Northern District of California?

Started Jul 21, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2018 06:00PM UTC

In February, Waymo, a subsidiary of Alphabet (Google's parent company), filed suit against Uber Technologies and some of its subsidiaries for stealing information related to autonomous vehicle development (The Atlantic). For more information on Waymo LLC v Uber Technologies, Inc. et all (3:2017cv00939), currently before Federal District Judge William Alsup, see: Waymo-Uber Complaint. Settlements reached that do not include an admission of liability will still resolve the question as "yes." Subsequent appeals will not affect the resolution. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 70.00%
No 30.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 309
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 633
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.117
2.
-0.117
4.
-0.113

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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