Will NATO invite Montenegro to join the alliance before the end of the year?

Started Oct 05, 2015 08:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 02, 2015 02:00PM UTC

Montenegro is seeking to join the NATO alliance (http://blogs.wsj.com/brussels/2015/09/24/will-montenegro-become-natos-29th-member/ , http://www.newsweek.com/whos-afraid-nato-expansion-360854 , http://www.wsj.com/articles/nato-faces-dilemma-as-it-weighs-montenegros-bid-to-join-1436202037 ).
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 11.00%
No 89.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 386
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 988
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.554464
2.
-1.526998
3.
-1.474784
4.
-1.450734
5.
-1.450516

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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