Started Aug 09, 2017 04:45PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC

HFC asks

How many 'hacking or malware (HACK)' data breaches will Privacy Rights Clearinghouse record for September 2017?

Challenges

This question will be resolved using Privacy Rights Clearinghouse's Chronology of Data Breaches. The relevant data can be found by selecting 'Hacking or Malware (HACK)' as the type of breach to display, selecting '2017' as the year, downloading the 'Data Breach File', and then counting the number of entries, for all organizations, in which 'Date Made Public' falls in September 2017. The question will be suspended on 30 September 2017 and scored using data downloaded from the online chronology on October 31.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 15 0%
Between 15 and 23, inclusive 23%
More than 23 but less than 31 46%
Between 31 and 40, inclusive 23%
More than 40 8%

No. of
Forecasters

289

Forecast
Count

659

Crowd Brier Score

0.3965


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.435
2.
-0.42
3.
-0.415
4.
-0.407
5.
-0.399

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