Started Oct 05, 2015 08:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 24, 2016 09:00PM UTC

Will Winds of Winter be released before Season 6 of Game of Thrones airs?

Winds of Winter is the sixth novel in the fantasy series that inspired HBO's Game of Thrones. In April 2015, George R.R. Martin told Entertainment Weekly that he hoped to release the book prior to the beginning of season 6 (Entertainment Weekly, International Business Times). The question will close when the release date for the book is announced. Recommended Questions Which main character will be the first to die in Season 6 of the Walking Dead? Which movie will win the Oscar for Best Picture?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 902
Average for questions older than 6 months: 249
Number of Forecasts 1627
Average for questions older than 6 months: 677
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.055
2.
-0.049
3.
-0.044
4.
-0.044
5.
-0.043

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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