Between September 2017 and February 2018, how many people will be killed by sectarian actors in Nigeria?
Started
Sep 12, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Nigeria is facing increasing sectarian violence, even outside of violence attributed to Boko Haram (All Africa, Daily Post, Premium Times, IRIN). Outcome will be determined by the deaths attributed to "Sectarian Actor" on "Graph 2: Deaths by Perpetrator" on the Council on Foreign Relations Nigeria Security Tracker. The total for September through and February can be found by setting the start period at August 2017 and the end period at February 2018.
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Between September 2017 and February 2018, 618 deaths were attributed to sectarian actors. This question was closed as "b) 500-750, inclusive" with an end date of 28 February 2018.
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Question clarification
Issued on 02/12/18 02:24pm
GJ has corrected "Sectarian Actors" --> "Sectarian Actor" to match the title in the graph cited under "More Info."
GJ has corrected "Sectarian Actors" --> "Sectarian Actor" to match the title in the graph cited under "More Info."
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 500 | 11% | |
500-750, inclusive | 87% | |
More than 750 but less than 1,000 | 2% | |
1,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 209 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 660 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |