Will a trilateral meeting take place between Chinese President Xi Jinping, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and South Korean President Park Geun-hye before 1 January 2016?

Started Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2015 11:00PM UTC

A trilateral meeting of leaders from China, Japan, and South Korea was held annually from 2008 to 2012, but regional tensions led to its cancellation; officials have recently discussed resuming a formal meeting at the leader level: www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-27/south-korea-s-park-eyes-china-japan-summit-after-kim-showdown www.reuters.com/article/2015/06/20/us-japan-southkorea-china-idUSKBN0P003S20150620 asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/International-Relations/Japan-China-South-Korea-consider-autumn-summit
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 385
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 946
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.034
2.
-0.034
3.
-0.025
4.
-0.016
5.
-0.015

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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