HFC asks

Who will win Chile’s 2017 presidential election?

Started Oct 04, 2017 04:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Challenges

The Chilean presidential election is scheduled for 19 November 2017, with a run-off scheduled for 17 December 2017 if no candidate wins a majority of the votes in the first round (Prensa Latina, US News & World Report, Santiago Times). Sebastian Pinera won Chile's 2017 presidential election (Latin American News Agency). This question closed as "c) Sebastian Pinera." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Resolution Notes

http://latinamericanewsagency.com/politics/sebastian-pinera-triumphs-in-chile-elections--returns-to-presidency_n5585

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Alejandro Guillier 18%
Beatriz Sanchez 0%
Sebastian Pinera 82%
None of the above 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 175
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 471
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.087427
2.
-0.086949
3.
-0.079243
4.
-0.076843
5.
-0.072747

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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