How many Senate seats will Cambiemos hold after Argentina's parliamentary elections?
Started
Oct 10, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 22, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Closed Oct 22, 2017 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
While Argentine President Macri's ruling Cambiemos ('Let's Change') coalition had a strong showing in August's primaries, ex-President Christine Fernandez de Kirchner's declared run for a Senate seat casts uncertainty over competing economic reform agendas (Bloomberg, Business Insider, FX Street). Argentina's parliamentary elections are scheduled for 22 October 2017.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Macri's ruling "Cambiemos" party won the most votes, but not a majority in mid-term elections (La Nacion). This question closed as "b) A plurality, but not a majority," with an end date of 22 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Macri's ruling "Cambiemos" party won the most votes, but not a majority in mid-term elections (La Nacion). This question closed as "b) A plurality, but not a majority," with an end date of 22 October 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| A majority | 0% | |
| A plurality, but not a majority | 15% | |
| Less than a plurality | 85% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 31 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 50 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
