Will the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) maintain its majority in Venezuela's National Assembly after the next legislative elections?
Started
Oct 27, 2015 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 06, 2015 07:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 06, 2015 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The continued dominance of Maduro's PSUV is uncertain as Venezuela faces a crumbling economy, a legal scandal, border disputes, and protests (https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/venezuelas-next-election-poses-double-threat-leaders , http://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/12/venezuela-opposition-leader-jailed-leopoldo-lopez-international-criticism , http://news.yahoo.com/venezuelan-row-colombia-election-ploy-analysts-220608789 ). The election is scheduled for 6 December 2015.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.00% | |
| No | 45.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 271 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 577 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
