The Monkey Cage asks

Before 1 April 2018, will President Trump sign legislation protecting DACA participants from deportation?

Started Oct 20, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

On September 5, Attorney General Jeff Sessions announced that no new applications under the Obama Administration-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals (DACA) program will be processed, and that renewals for those already granted permits under the program will be granted through the next six months (Chicago Sun Times, CNN). President Trump has called on Congress to pass legislation to codify the program before those six months end (Bloomberg). Legal protections of any duration will count. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
President Trump did not sign legislation protecting DACA participants from deportation. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 April 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and that legislation will apply to all DACA participants 0%
Yes, but that legislation will not apply to all DACA participants 5%
No 95%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 687
Average for questions older than 6 months: 210
Number of Forecasts 1469
Average for questions older than 6 months: 595
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.244
2.
-0.243
3.
-0.242
4.
-0.241
5.
-0.24

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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