The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 April 2018, will General Motors test an autonomous vehicle in New York City?

Started Nov 17, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Cruise Automation, the self-driving unit of General Motors, recently announced its intention to test autonomous Chevy Bolts in New York City a high regulation, high density location. Tests conducted with backup drivers or engineers in the car will count. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
General Motors did not test an autonomous vehicle in New York City. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 April 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 4.50%
No 95.50%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 409
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 730
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.593
2.
-0.576
3.
-0.576
4.
-0.526

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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