The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2018, will Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu resign, lose a vote of confidence, or call new elections?

Started Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including ongoing investigations (NY Times, NY Times, Al-Monitor, Al-Monitor, The Jerusalem Post, Times of Israel). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 7.00%
No 93.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 795
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1584
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.064499
2.
-0.064435
3.
-0.064148
4.
-0.064004
5.
-0.06386

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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