Question 11 of 12 in The World in 2018
Started Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 October 2018?

Prime Minister Theresa May faces a number of leadership challenges as she navigates Brexit (Bloomberg, Evening Standard).

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Name Probability
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party 7%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party 1%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Labour or Conservative Parties 0%
No 92%

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