Before 1 July 2018, will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan?
Started
Nov 21, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC
The stability of Afghanistan's government remains tenuous (LA Times, Council on Foreign Relations, The Diplomat). In the event that Ghani reportedly disappears or flees the capital, GJI will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Ghani returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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Ashraf Ghani remains the president of Afghanistan. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Ashraf Ghani remains the president of Afghanistan. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 298 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 863 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |