HFC asks

How many cases of MERS-CoV in humans will EMPRES-i record in Saudi Arabia between 1 December 2017 and 15 December 2017?

Started Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Health  

EMPRES Global Animal Disease Information System (EMPRES-i) is the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nation's global web-based tool for animal disease surveillance. To access the data from http://empres-i.fao.org: click on the map; click Advanced Search in the top right corner; set OBSERVATION DATES to cover the relevant time period, check MERS-CoV from DISEASE LIST; check Saudi Arabia under Asia from ADMINISTRATIVE UNITS; check human from ANIMALS AFFECTED; click Find; then export to CSV. Outcome will be determined by the sum of the values reported in the "humansAffected" column. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved based on data posted 15 days from the end of the period. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Resolution Notes

No results found for the query (no cases)
http://empres-i.fao.org/eipws3g/

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
None 0%
Between 1 and 8, inclusive 100%
More than 8 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 24
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 47
Average for questions older than 6 months: 583
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.958775
2.
-0.719168
3.
-0.61911
4.
-0.591828
5.
-0.572738

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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