HFC asks
How many cases of MERS-CoV in humans will EMPRES-i record in Saudi Arabia between 1 December 2017 and 15 December 2017?
Started
Nov 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Closed Dec 16, 2017 04:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
EMPRES Global Animal Disease Information System (EMPRES-i) is the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nation's global web-based tool for animal disease surveillance. To access the data from http://empres-i.fao.org: click on the map; click Advanced Search in the top right corner; set OBSERVATION DATES to cover the relevant time period, check MERS-CoV from DISEASE LIST; check Saudi Arabia under Asia from ADMINISTRATIVE UNITS; check human from ANIMALS AFFECTED; click Find; then export to CSV. Outcome will be determined by the sum of the values reported in the "humansAffected" column. Question will be suspended on the last day of the period of interest and resolved based on data posted 15 days from the end of the period.
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Resolution Notes
No results found for the query (no cases)
http://empres-i.fao.org/eipws3g/
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
None | 0% | |
Between 1 and 8, inclusive | 100% | |
More than 8 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 24 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 47 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 583 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |