Will North Korea launch a land based missile with the capacity to reach Alaska, Hawaii, or the continental United States before 1 January 2017?
Started
Sep 01, 2015 04:37PM UTC
Closed Feb 06, 2016 10:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 06, 2016 10:00PM UTC
Challenges
A launch for military or testing purposes would count, i.e., www.nytimes.com/2012/12/24/world/asia/north-korean-rocket-had-military-purpose-seoul-says.html . The success of the launch, and the actual distance traveled, are irrelevant.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.00% | |
| No | 58.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 517 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1582 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
