Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Before 1 January 2019, will any other EU member state schedule a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?

Started Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC

After the victory of the "leave" campaign in the United Kingdom's 2016 referendum, there have been calls from factions within other EU member states to leave the eurozone or the European Union. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "No" on 12/31/2018. There was no other EU-exit referendum scheduled during the lifespan of the question. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 3596
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188
Number of Forecasts 5061
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.019191
2.
-0.019191
3.
-0.019191
4.
-0.019191
5.
-0.019191

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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