Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Before 1 January 2019, will any other EU member state schedule a referendum on leaving the EU or the eurozone?
Started
Dec 15, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
After the victory of the "leave" campaign in the United Kingdom's 2016 referendum, there have been calls from factions within other EU member states to leave the eurozone or the European Union.
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This question closed as "No" on 12/31/2018. There was no other EU-exit referendum scheduled during the lifespan of the question. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "No" on 12/31/2018. There was no other EU-exit referendum scheduled during the lifespan of the question. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 5.00% | |
No | 95.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 3596 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 188 | |
Number of Forecasts | 5061 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 544 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |