Started Dec 29, 2017 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 08, 2018 07:59AM UTC

How many forecasters will join the Global Judgment Challenge on Good Judgment Open before 8 January, 2018?

Tags

Good Judgment Open's Global Judgment Challenge, sponsored by CNN's "Fareed Zakaria GPS," will be featured on the program twice, on 31 December 2017 and 7 January 2018 (Global Judgment Challenge, Fareed Zakaria GPS). "Fareed Zakaria GPS" was the second most popular cable news show on weekends in Q3 2017 (AdWeek) Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


More than 2,000 but less than 3,000 forecasters joined. This question closed as “More than 2,000 but fewer than 3,000” with an end date of 8 January 2018." See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 1,000 0%
Between 1,000 and 2,000, inclusive 0%
More than 2,000 but fewer than 3,000 99%
Between 3,000 and 4,000, inclusive 1%
More than 4,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

114

Forecast
Count

275

Crowd Brier Score

0.0639


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.176
3.
-0.155
4.
-0.132
5.
-0.127

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