The Mack Institute asks

Before 20 July 2018, will Audi sell or lease a motor vehicle with Traffic Jam Pilot?

Started Jan 24, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 20, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Society of Automotive Engineers uses six levels (zero through five) to classify the level of autonomy in vehicles (Car and Driver). Within the ongoing debate on the best development path for autonomous vehicle technology, the viability and safety of vehicles with Level 3 autonomy in contrast to Level 4 autonomy is seen as most salient (The Economist). As such, different companies are advancing different strategies (Inverse). Audi's development of Level 3 autonomy capabilities with its Traffic Jam Pilot make it a pivotal case to watch in the context of this debate (Audi, Pocket-Lint, Practical Motoring). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Question clarification
Issued on 03/13/18 03:43pm
There are media reports that Audi A8s are being sold which are ready for Traffic Jam Pilot to be activated. This is not sufficient to resolve the question.
Resolution Notes

This question closed as "no" with an end date of 20 July 2018.

https://www.audi-mediacenter.com/en/press-releases/the-new-top-model-of-the-q-family-audi-q8-now-available-to-order-10425, https://www.zdnet.com/article/the-ethical-challenges-of-artificial-intelligence/, https://www.fleetnews.co.uk/news/manufacturer-news/2018/02/15/legislation-puts-brakes-on-audi-s-level-3-autonomous-technology, https://www.motoring.com.au/audi-a8-2018-review-113694/

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 312
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 506
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.015
2.
-0.015
3.
-0.015
4.
-0.015
5.
-0.015

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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