The Mack Institute asks

How many Mirais will Toyota sell or lease between January 2018 and June 2018, inclusive?

Started Feb 28, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2018 06:59AM UTC

The Mirai is Toyota's first commercially launched fuel cell-powered electric vehicle (Toyata, Forbes, Toyota). Since 2015, Toyota has sold or leased over 3,000 Mirais in the US, all in California (The Drive). Toyota Mirai sales data can be tracked here. The question will be suspended on 30 June 2018 and will be closed when the data for relevant months are available. Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Between January and June 2018, Toyota sold or leased 743 Mirais. This question closed as "Less than 900" with an end date of 1 July 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 900 100%
Between 900 and 1199, inclusive 0%
Between 1200 and 1499, inclusive 0%
Between 1500 and 1799, inclusive 0%
1800 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 100
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 265
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.48213
2.
-0.480901
3.
-0.476323
4.
-0.447402
5.
-0.428772

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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