How many media outlets will be on the Russian Ministry of Justice's list of media designated as foreign agents on 1 June 2019?

Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The list of media outlets designated as foreign agents can be found here. In November 2017, Russia passed a law which allows the government to designate media outlets receiving funding from abroad as "foreign agents" and subject designated entities to additional requirements or sanctions (Reuters). The following month, nine entities were designated as foreign agents, including Voice of America and Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (Reuters). The designation of individual journalists as foreign agents will not count (e.g., Radio Free Europe). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "8 to 10, inclusive" with a closing date of 1 June 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 3 0%
3 to 7, inclusive 0%
8 to 10, inclusive 88%
11 to 20, inclusive 12%
More than 20 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 186
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 478
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.132285
2.
-0.131935
3.
-0.130075
4.
-0.119751
5.
-0.114013

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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