On 1 October 2019, how many countries will be on Russia's food embargo list?

Started Apr 11, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Russia embargoed food imports from the United States, EU member states, Canada, Australia, and Norway in August 2014 as retaliation for Western sanctions imposed after Russia's annexation of Crimea (European Commission). Iceland, Albania, Montenegro, Liechtenstein, and Ukraine were later added to the list (Yahoo). The embargo on these 37 countries was last extended through 31 December 2018 (Radio Free Europe). Since 2014, certain products have been exempted from the embargo (USDA Foreign Agricultural Services), but the list of covered countries has only expanded.

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The question closed "37 or more" with a closing date of 2 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
Between 1 and 31, inclusive 0%
Between 32 and 35, inclusive 0%
36 2%
37 or more 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 509
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.249767
2.
-0.249767
3.
-0.249631
4.
-0.248662
5.
-0.248133

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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