Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?

Formal progression in the NATO accession process consists of a country: reaching a new stage of any of the seven stages listed under the accession process section (NATO); receiving an invitation to participate in a Membership Action Plan (NATO); or entering into Intensified Dialogue (Project Gutenberg). Countries will only be counted once.

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Macedonia was the only country to formally progress in the NATO accession process. This question closed as "1" with an end date of 1 April 2019. 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 3%
1 96%
2 1%
3 0%
4 or more 0%

No. of
Forecasters

305

Forecast
Count

779


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.798
2.
-0.76
3.
-0.755
4.
-0.672