Started Apr 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks

Before 1 April 2019, how many countries will formally progress in the NATO accession process?

Formal progression in the NATO accession process consists of a country: reaching a new stage of any of the seven stages listed under the accession process section (NATO); receiving an invitation to participate in a Membership Action Plan (NATO); or entering into Intensified Dialogue (Project Gutenberg). Countries will only be counted once.

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Name Probability
0 26%
1 58%
2 6%
3 5%
4 or more 5%

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