Started Apr 18, 2018 05:05PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Will formal negotiations between Russia and the United States on a new nuclear arms control treaty or an extension/modification of an existing nuclear arms control treaty begin before 1 October 2019?

The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) between Russia and the United States entered into force on 5 February 2011, and is scheduled to remain in force for ten years. There is an option to extend it for up to five years upon the agreement of both parties, or a new deal could be negotiated (Reuters, Federation of American Scientists, The Washington Post).

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Name Probability
Yes 1%

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