The Monkey Cage asks
Between 9 May 2018 and 29 June 2018, how many Cabinet-level officials in the Trump Administration will cease to hold a cabinet-level position?
Started
May 09, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 29, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The Trump administration has seen turnover increasing for its top officials (The Washington Post). Cabinet-level positions refer to the Vice President, the White House Chief of Staff, the 15 Cabinet members (Secretaries of Agriculture, Commerce, Defense, Education, Energy, Health and Human Services, Homeland Security, Housing and Urban Development, Interior, Labor, State, Transportation, Treasury, and Veterans Affairs, and the Attorney General), and 7 other cabinet-level officials (the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, the Director of the Office of Management and Budget, the United States Trade Representative, the Representative of the United States to the United Nations, the Administrator of the Small Business Administration, the Director of National Intelligence, and the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency). Cabinet members who cease to hold a cabinet-level position to take another cabinet-level position will not count for the resolution of this question.
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This question closed as "0 (zero)" with an end date of 29 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question closed as "0 (zero)" with an end date of 29 June 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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0 | 99% | |
1 | 1% | |
2 | 0% | |
3 | 0% | |
4 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 87 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 248 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |