What will be the average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances in the U.S. for the week ending June 22?

Started May 16, 2018 06:30PM UTC
Closed Jun 22, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Tags
Finance  

Outcome will be determined by data from the Mortgage Bankers Association Weekly Applications Survey press release, generally published five days after the week's end by the Mortgage Bankers Association. For historical data, see: Trading Economics.
This question closed as "b) Between 4.75% and 4.85% inclusive" with an end date of 22 June 2018 (Mortgage Bankers Association). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 4.75% 0%
Between 4.75% and 4.85%, inclusive 99%
More than 4.85% but less than 4.95% 1%
Between 4.95% and 5.05%, inclusive 0%
More than 5.05% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 115
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.07619
2.
-0.051885
3.
-0.049735
4.
-0.049666
5.
-0.047338

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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