The Economist asks
Will the Pakistan Muslim League (PML-N) win an overall majority of seats in the National Assembly in the 2018 general election?
Started
Jun 13, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 25, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 25, 2018 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Elections are scheduled to be held on 25 July 2018 and Nawaz Sharif's party, the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz), or PML-N, remains popular despite the corruption charges leveled against Sharif (The Economist, NY Times).
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Resolution Notes
This question closed as "no" with an end date of 25 July 2018.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-44980344
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/07/27/imran-khan-prepares-coalition-talks-official-results-released/
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 4.50% | |
No | 95.50% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 89 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 194 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |