The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected senator from North Dakota in the 2018 midterm elections?

Started Jul 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Incumbent Democratic Senator Heidi Heitkamp is running for re-election against Congressman and Republican nominee Kevin Cramer in the 2018 midterm elections (Real Clear Politics). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Heidi Heitkamp (D) 15%
Kevin Cramer (R) 85%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 121
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 337
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.409
2.
-0.407
4.
-0.334
5.
-0.309

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username