The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected senator from Indiana in the 2018 midterm elections?

Started Jul 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Donnelly is running for re-election against Republican nominee Mike Braun in the 2018 midterm elections (Real Clear Politics). See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Donnelly (D) 65%
Mike Braun (R) 35%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 111
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 287
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.577464
2.
-0.577264
4.
-0.459454
5.
-0.41442

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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