The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected senator from Florida in the 2018 midterm elections?

Started Jul 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Incumbent Democratic Senator Bill Nelson is running for re-election against current Governor and Republican nominee Rick Scott in the 2018 midterm elections (Real Clear Politics).
Rick Scott (R) was elected senator in Florida's mid-term election. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Bill Nelson (D) 65%
Rick Scott (R) 35%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 138
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 352
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.47
4.
-0.366
5.
-0.342

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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