The Monkey Cage asks
Who will be elected senator from West Virginia in the 2018 midterm elections?
Started
Jul 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin is running for re-election against Republican nominee Patrick Morrisey in the 2018 midterm elections (CNN).
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Manchin (D) | 88% | |
| Patrick Morrisey (R) | 12% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 132 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 306 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |