The Monkey Cage asks
Who will be elected senator from West Virginia in the 2018 midterm elections?
Started
Jul 18, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Incumbent Democratic Senator Joe Manchin is running for re-election against Republican nominee Patrick Morrisey in the 2018 midterm elections (CNN).
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Joe Manchin (D) | 88% | |
Patrick Morrisey (R) | 12% | |
Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 132 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 306 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |