The Monkey Cage asks
How many Senate Democrats will vote to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court?
Started
Aug 01, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 06, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 06, 2018 05:00PM UTC
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Senate Democrats, particularly those in states carried by President Trump in 2016, are being closely watched in the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process (CNN, SCOTUSBlog). For the purposes of this question, both Senators Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Angus King (I-ME) will count. This question will remain open until a confirmation vote is held or until the last day of the 115th Congress. In the event Kavanaugh's confirmation is withdrawn, the question will be voided.
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Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia was the only Democrat to vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh. This question closed on "1" with an end date of 6 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia was the only Democrat to vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh. This question closed on "1" with an end date of 6 October 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
0 | 84% | |
1 | 15% | |
2 | 1% | |
3 | 0% | |
4 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 148 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 357 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |