Before 1 July 2019, will Daniel Ortega cease to be president of Nicaragua?

Started Aug 15, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Protests in response to government pension reforms have expanded to focus on Ortega, including calls for him to step down (The Washington Post, Reuters, ABC News). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2019.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 171
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 450
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.011
2.
-0.011
3.
-0.011
4.
-0.011
5.
-0.011

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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