The Monkey Cage asks
Who will be elected senator from Texas in the 2018 midterm elections?
Started
Sep 07, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Incumbent Republican Senator Ted Cruz is running for re-election against Democratic nominee Beto O'Rourke in the 2018 midterm elections (Real Clear Politics).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Ted Cruz (R) | 80% | |
| Beto O'Rourke (D) | 20% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 149 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 317 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |