The Monkey Cage asks

Who will be elected governor of Wisconsin in the 2018 election?

Started Sep 14, 2018 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 06, 2018 07:59AM UTC

The Wisconsin gubernatorial election will take place on 6 November 2018. Democratic nominee Tony Evers is running against Republican incumbent Scott Walker (Real Clear Politics). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Scott Walker (R) 42%
Tony Evers (D) 58%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 90
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 180
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.338
2.
-0.295
3.
-0.291
4.
-0.264

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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