Will Syrian government forces retake the city of Aleppo before 1 July 2016?

Started Mar 01, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC

This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Forces continue to close in on Aleppo but as yet have not taken control (Sky News, DW) Government forces backed by Russian airpower are closing in on the city of Aleppo (Atlantic, Huffington Post, Washington Post, The World in 2016). ** This question involves military operations. See here for GJ's FAQ on the fuzzy nature of these questions. Recommended Questions Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018? Will more than 1 million refugees and migrants arrive in Europe by sea in 2016? Will anti-Islamic State forces retake Mosul before 1 January 2017?
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 611
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1663
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.210406
2.
-0.208265
3.
-0.199827
4.
-0.19593
5.
-0.19593

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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