Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018?
In November 2015, foreign governments participating in UN-backed talks agreed that Syria should hold new elections in the next two years (Reuters, NY Times). UN-backed elections could include the supervisory role stipulated in the Vienna communique (see Article 4 of the Security Council Resolution), other forms of active involvement in the elections (electoral assistance) or statements of support (e.g., Tanzania, Central African Republic, Myanmar).
Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017?
Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?
Syria did not hold UN-backed elections. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Number of Forecasters||927|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 257|
|Number of Forecasts||3601|
|average for questions older than 6 months: 686|
|Accuracy of participants|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||about average|