Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017?
Started
Sep 01, 2015 06:29PM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
Closed Mar 01, 2017 07:59AM UTC
A number of military setbacks have weakened Bashar al-Assad's grip on power and called into question the the commitment of his external supporters (BBC, NBC News).
In the event that Assad reportedly disappears or flees the capital, the administrator will observe a three week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Assad returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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This question was closed on "No" with an end date of 28 February 2017.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 1.00% | |
No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 1511 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 191 | |
Number of Forecasts | 5509 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 550 |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |