Started
Oct 19, 2015 08:00PM UTC
•
Closed
Jun 01, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Will there be a new King of Saudi Arabia before 1 June 2016?
The Kingdom is currently confronting a range of challenges including plummeting oil prices, war in neighboring Yemen, and fallout from the recent Hajj tragedy (Guardian, The Economist). For more information on the Saudi line of succession, see Washington Post, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Bloomberg. Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Will Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff resign or be impeached before 1 April 2016?
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| No | 100% | |
| Yes, Mohammed bin Nayef | 0% | |
| Yes, Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | |
| Yes, Muqrin bin Abdulaziz | 0% | |
| Yes, Someone else | 0% |
Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 695 |
| average for questions older than 6 months: 258 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2005 |
| average for questions older than 6 months: 686 | |
| Accuracy of participants | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | about average |
