Started Sep 08, 2015 08:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 31, 2016 09:00PM UTC

Will Brazil's President Dilma Rousseff resign or be impeached before 1 April 2016?

According to the constitution of Brazil, President Rousseff would be impeached if the Chamber of Deputies authorizes, by a two-thirds vote, legal proceedings to be initiated against her (Brazilian Constitution). President Rousseff faces a continuing economic slump, a bribery scandal affecting members of her party, and new legal claims that she broke the nation's fiscal responsibility law (NY Times, Reuters, Financial Times, The World in 2016). Recommended Questions Will Bashar al-Assad cease to be President of Syria before 1 March 2017? Will there be a new King of Saudi Arabia before 1 June 2016?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.00%
No 99.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 934
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 2942
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.034
2.
-0.034
3.
-0.034
5.
-0.033

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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